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icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Dunia·Kanada

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Dunia·Kanada

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Alexandre Leduc 58%

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 34%

Béatrice Hodonou 1.1%

Janny Gaspard <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Alexandre Leduc 58%

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 34%

Béatrice Hodonou 1.1%

Janny Gaspard <1%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Alexandre Leduc

Alexandre Leduc

$2,552 Vol.

61%

icon for Maude Brossard-Sabourin

Maude Brossard-Sabourin

$4,088 Vol.

34%

icon for Béatrice Hodonou

Béatrice Hodonou

$1,276 Vol.

1%

icon for Janny Gaspard

Janny Gaspard

$1,102 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Penta

Elena Penta

$917 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Alexandre Leduc (Québec solidaire) leads trader pricing at 60.5% as the incumbent MNA for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, a Montreal riding with a strong left-leaning history.** He won decisively in 2022 with over 50% of the vote under redistributed boundaries. Recent 338Canada projections rate the seat a toss-up between QS and the Parti Québécois, with QS holding a modest edge in vote share amid the broader October 5, 2026, general election campaign. Provincial polling shows the PQ competitive overall, yet this district’s demographics and Leduc’s established profile as a sitting critic on labor, family, and administrative files support his position. Maude Brossard-Sabourin (PQ) follows at 33%, while CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates trail at under 1%, reflecting limited traction in the riding. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no major late developments reported that would shift the local contest. Market pricing reflects incumbency advantage and riding-specific voting patterns rather than province-wide trends.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$9,934
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Alexandre Leduc (Québec solidaire) leads trader pricing at 60.5% as the incumbent MNA for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, a Montreal riding with a strong left-leaning history.** He won decisively in 2022 with over 50% of the vote under redistributed boundaries. Recent 338Canada projections rate the seat a toss-up between QS and the Parti Québécois, with QS holding a modest edge in vote share amid the broader October 5, 2026, general election campaign. Provincial polling shows the PQ competitive overall, yet this district’s demographics and Leduc’s established profile as a sitting critic on labor, family, and administrative files support his position. Maude Brossard-Sabourin (PQ) follows at 33%, while CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates trail at under 1%, reflecting limited traction in the riding. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no major late developments reported that would shift the local contest. Market pricing reflects incumbency advantage and riding-specific voting patterns rather than province-wide trends.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$9,934
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Alexandre Leduc" di 61%, diikuti oleh "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" di 34%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 61¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 31, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah "Alexandre Leduc" di 61%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" di 34%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.