Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a high of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partial cloud cover following rare late-August rainfall that briefly suppressed temperatures. These conditions align with late-summer Mediterranean norms of 30–32°C highs, with low humidity and minimal convective activity limiting upward spikes. Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C, reflecting model agreement and absence of heatwave signals, while the slim probability for 31°C or lower accounts for possible slight underperformance in afternoon peaks. Updated runs ahead of the close will refine this range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
32°C 77%
31°C 23%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$13,751 Vol.
$13,751 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
23%
32°C
77%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 77%
31°C 23%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$13,751 Vol.
$13,751 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
23%
32°C
77%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a high of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partial cloud cover following rare late-August rainfall that briefly suppressed temperatures. These conditions align with late-summer Mediterranean norms of 30–32°C highs, with low humidity and minimal convective activity limiting upward spikes. Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C, reflecting model agreement and absence of heatwave signals, while the slim probability for 31°C or lower accounts for possible slight underperformance in afternoon peaks. Updated runs ahead of the close will refine this range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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