Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Tel Aviv maximum temperatures on August 12 most likely reaching 34–35°C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences in forecast sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects drive the 1°C spread between these outcomes. Historical August climatology for the coastal plain places typical highs near 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next 12–24 hour model cycles and any updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance for shifts in the 850 hPa temperature or low-level wind fields that could tip resolution toward one degree or the other.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 12?
34°C 46%
35°C 44%
33°C 7%
36°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
46%
35°C
44%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
35°C 44%
33°C 7%
36°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
$403 Vol.
1%
33°C
$712 Vol.
7%
34°C
$510 Vol.
46%
35°C
$738 Vol.
44%
36°C
$160 Vol.
5%
37°C
$61 Vol.
2%
38°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Tel Aviv maximum temperatures on August 12 most likely reaching 34–35°C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences in forecast sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects drive the 1°C spread between these outcomes. Historical August climatology for the coastal plain places typical highs near 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next 12–24 hour model cycles and any updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance for shifts in the 850 hPa temperature or low-level wind fields that could tip resolution toward one degree or the other.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,353Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Tel Aviv maximum temperatures on August 12 most likely reaching 34–35°C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences in forecast sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects drive the 1°C spread between these outcomes. Historical August climatology for the coastal plain places typical highs near 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next 12–24 hour model cycles and any updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance for shifts in the 850 hPa temperature or low-level wind fields that could tip resolution toward one degree or the other.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,353Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Tel Aviv maximum temperatures on August 12 most likely reaching 34–35°C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences in forecast sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects drive the 1°C spread between these outcomes. Historical August climatology for the coastal plain places typical highs near 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders will watch the next 12–24 hour model cycles and any updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance for shifts in the 850 hPa temperature or low-level wind fields that could tip resolution toward one degree or the other.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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