Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system promoting subsidence, clear skies, and elevated humidity, underpin trader consensus around 33–35°C maxima at the Incheon station for August 9. Recent KMA heatwave emergency alerts and prior daily peaks near 34°C align with short-range model guidance showing limited further intensification before possible afternoon convection or steering shifts. Minor probability spreads between 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C hinge on subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized sea-breeze moderation at the coastal airport site versus urban heat-island effects. Updated KMA forecasts and ensemble runs will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
34°C 36%
33°C 27%
35°C 19%
36°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
27%
34°C
36%
35°C
19%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
33°C 27%
35°C 19%
36°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$46 Vol.
1%
31°C
$137 Vol.
4%
32°C
$20 Vol.
7%
33°C
$161 Vol.
27%
34°C
$591 Vol.
36%
35°C
$153 Vol.
19%
36°C
$159 Vol.
8%
37°C
$74 Vol.
2%
38°C
$14 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$305 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system promoting subsidence, clear skies, and elevated humidity, underpin trader consensus around 33–35°C maxima at the Incheon station for August 9. Recent KMA heatwave emergency alerts and prior daily peaks near 34°C align with short-range model guidance showing limited further intensification before possible afternoon convection or steering shifts. Minor probability spreads between 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C hinge on subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized sea-breeze moderation at the coastal airport site versus urban heat-island effects. Updated KMA forecasts and ensemble runs will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,818Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system promoting subsidence, clear skies, and elevated humidity, underpin trader consensus around 33–35°C maxima at the Incheon station for August 9. Recent KMA heatwave emergency alerts and prior daily peaks near 34°C align with short-range model guidance showing limited further intensification before possible afternoon convection or steering shifts. Minor probability spreads between 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C hinge on subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized sea-breeze moderation at the coastal airport site versus urban heat-island effects. Updated KMA forecasts and ensemble runs will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,818Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system promoting subsidence, clear skies, and elevated humidity, underpin trader consensus around 33–35°C maxima at the Incheon station for August 9. Recent KMA heatwave emergency alerts and prior daily peaks near 34°C align with short-range model guidance showing limited further intensification before possible afternoon convection or steering shifts. Minor probability spreads between 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C hinge on subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and localized sea-breeze moderation at the coastal airport site versus urban heat-island effects. Updated KMA forecasts and ensemble runs will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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