**Marine layer influence and a recent cooling trend position 68-69°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s highest temperature on August 15, 2026, with market-implied odds of 36.5%.** Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, Wunderground, and the National Weather Service show expected highs clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with the combined 81% probability on the 66–71°F range. Persistent onshore flow and the marine layer—typical for the Bay Area in mid-August—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values. A documented cooling trend through mid-August has held temperatures below seasonal normals, with model guidance indicating only subtle warming by the weekend that remains insufficient to push readings significantly higher. Historical August averages near 70°F and recent observations (highs in the upper 60s to low 70s) reinforce trader consensus around these narrower bins. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at San Francisco stations, with low odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of strong offshore flow or heat advection reaching the coast before the observation window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 15?
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 22%
66-67°F 17%
72-73°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 22%
66-67°F 17%
72-73°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
59°F or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$15 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$241 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$13 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$197 Vol.
17%
68-69°F
$14 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$16 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$201 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$160 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$167 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and a recent cooling trend position 68-69°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s highest temperature on August 15, 2026, with market-implied odds of 36.5%.** Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, Wunderground, and the National Weather Service show expected highs clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with the combined 81% probability on the 66–71°F range. Persistent onshore flow and the marine layer—typical for the Bay Area in mid-August—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values.
A documented cooling trend through mid-August has held temperatures below seasonal normals, with model guidance indicating only subtle warming by the weekend that remains insufficient to push readings significantly higher. Historical August averages near 70°F and recent observations (highs in the upper 60s to low 70s) reinforce trader consensus around these narrower bins. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at San Francisco stations, with low odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of strong offshore flow or heat advection reaching the coast before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,102Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and a recent cooling trend position 68-69°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s highest temperature on August 15, 2026, with market-implied odds of 36.5%.** Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, Wunderground, and the National Weather Service show expected highs clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with the combined 81% probability on the 66–71°F range. Persistent onshore flow and the marine layer—typical for the Bay Area in mid-August—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values.
A documented cooling trend through mid-August has held temperatures below seasonal normals, with model guidance indicating only subtle warming by the weekend that remains insufficient to push readings significantly higher. Historical August averages near 70°F and recent observations (highs in the upper 60s to low 70s) reinforce trader consensus around these narrower bins. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at San Francisco stations, with low odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of strong offshore flow or heat advection reaching the coast before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,102Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer influence and a recent cooling trend position 68-69°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s highest temperature on August 15, 2026, with market-implied odds of 36.5%.** Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, Wunderground, and the National Weather Service show expected highs clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with the combined 81% probability on the 66–71°F range. Persistent onshore flow and the marine layer—typical for the Bay Area in mid-August—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values. A documented cooling trend through mid-August has held temperatures below seasonal normals, with model guidance indicating only subtle warming by the weekend that remains insufficient to push readings significantly higher. Historical August averages near 70°F and recent observations (highs in the upper 60s to low 70s) reinforce trader consensus around these narrower bins. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at San Francisco stations, with low odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of strong offshore flow or heat advection reaching the coast before the observation window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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