Mexico City's high-elevation basin near 2,240 meters and early August wet-season regime position daily highs typically between 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 39.5% on 24°C, 25.5% on 25°C, and 23.5% on 23°C. Persistent cloud cover, afternoon convection from the North American monsoon, and scattered showers limit peak insolation and cap readings above 26°C, while historical climatology from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional shows extremes at or beyond 27°C remain rare this time of year. Recent forecast guidance reinforces this narrow range amid typical humidity and variable rainfall patterns, with trader consensus reflecting the low downside risk from stronger cooling or the modest upside from clearer skies. Official daily maximum observations will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 9?
24°C 40%
25°C 26%
23°C 24%
22°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
26%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
25°C 26%
23°C 24%
22°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 9, 2026
17°C or below
$86 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$17 Vol.
2%
21°C
$48 Vol.
4%
22°C
$143 Vol.
8%
23°C
$30 Vol.
24%
24°C
$89 Vol.
40%
25°C
$77 Vol.
26%
26°C
$151 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$24 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation basin near 2,240 meters and early August wet-season regime position daily highs typically between 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 39.5% on 24°C, 25.5% on 25°C, and 23.5% on 23°C. Persistent cloud cover, afternoon convection from the North American monsoon, and scattered showers limit peak insolation and cap readings above 26°C, while historical climatology from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional shows extremes at or beyond 27°C remain rare this time of year. Recent forecast guidance reinforces this narrow range amid typical humidity and variable rainfall patterns, with trader consensus reflecting the low downside risk from stronger cooling or the modest upside from clearer skies. Official daily maximum observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$817Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation basin near 2,240 meters and early August wet-season regime position daily highs typically between 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 39.5% on 24°C, 25.5% on 25°C, and 23.5% on 23°C. Persistent cloud cover, afternoon convection from the North American monsoon, and scattered showers limit peak insolation and cap readings above 26°C, while historical climatology from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional shows extremes at or beyond 27°C remain rare this time of year. Recent forecast guidance reinforces this narrow range amid typical humidity and variable rainfall patterns, with trader consensus reflecting the low downside risk from stronger cooling or the modest upside from clearer skies. Official daily maximum observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$817Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation basin near 2,240 meters and early August wet-season regime position daily highs typically between 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 39.5% on 24°C, 25.5% on 25°C, and 23.5% on 23°C. Persistent cloud cover, afternoon convection from the North American monsoon, and scattered showers limit peak insolation and cap readings above 26°C, while historical climatology from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional shows extremes at or beyond 27°C remain rare this time of year. Recent forecast guidance reinforces this narrow range amid typical humidity and variable rainfall patterns, with trader consensus reflecting the low downside risk from stronger cooling or the modest upside from clearer skies. Official daily maximum observations will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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