Recent official forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 16 will likely reach 32–35°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies that promote strong solar heating. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds, consistent with mid-August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but frequently exceed 34°C during stable anticyclonic patterns. Recent observations confirm a heatwave with peaks near 38°C on August 13, supporting elevated trader expectations for values near or above typical seasonal maxima. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any subtle cooling from Atlantic moisture or wind shifts, directly influencing resolution thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 16?
34°C 36%
35°C 35%
33°C 14%
36°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
14%
34°C
36%
35°C
35%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
6%
34°C 36%
35°C 35%
33°C 14%
36°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
7%
33°C
$20 Vol.
14%
34°C
$14 Vol.
36%
35°C
$0 Vol.
35%
36°C
$28 Vol.
8%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 16 will likely reach 32–35°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies that promote strong solar heating. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds, consistent with mid-August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but frequently exceed 34°C during stable anticyclonic patterns. Recent observations confirm a heatwave with peaks near 38°C on August 13, supporting elevated trader expectations for values near or above typical seasonal maxima. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any subtle cooling from Atlantic moisture or wind shifts, directly influencing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$91Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 16 will likely reach 32–35°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies that promote strong solar heating. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds, consistent with mid-August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but frequently exceed 34°C during stable anticyclonic patterns. Recent observations confirm a heatwave with peaks near 38°C on August 13, supporting elevated trader expectations for values near or above typical seasonal maxima. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any subtle cooling from Atlantic moisture or wind shifts, directly influencing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 16 will likely reach 32–35°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies that promote strong solar heating. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds, consistent with mid-August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but frequently exceed 34°C during stable anticyclonic patterns. Recent observations confirm a heatwave with peaks near 38°C on August 13, supporting elevated trader expectations for values near or above typical seasonal maxima. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any subtle cooling from Atlantic moisture or wind shifts, directly influencing resolution thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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