Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 34°C for Guangzhou on August 17, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover early in the day. This aligns precisely with the market-implied outcome at 100% probability, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from local stations rather than longer-range projections. Recent model runs show minimal variance, with any afternoon thunderstorms expected too late to suppress the peak reading. The only realistic challenges would involve an unusually strong localized rain cell or a shift in station-specific measurement timing that caps the recorded high below the threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 17?
34°C 100.0%
$52,471 Vol.
$52,471 Vol.
34°C
100%
34°C 100.0%
$52,471 Vol.
$52,471 Vol.
34°C
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 34°C for Guangzhou on August 17, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover early in the day. This aligns precisely with the market-implied outcome at 100% probability, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from local stations rather than longer-range projections. Recent model runs show minimal variance, with any afternoon thunderstorms expected too late to suppress the peak reading. The only realistic challenges would involve an unusually strong localized rain cell or a shift in station-specific measurement timing that caps the recorded high below the threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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