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icon for Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

icon for Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

BARU
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$2,842 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for ≥85 mph

≥85 mph

$347 Vol.

98%

icon for ≥90 mph

≥90 mph

$675 Vol.

98%

icon for ≥95 mph

≥95 mph

$488 Vol.

98%

icon for ≥100 mph

≥100 mph

$915 Vol.

98%

icon for ≥105 mph

≥105 mph

$327 Vol.

97%

icon for ≥110 mph

≥110 mph

$40 Vol.

49%

icon for ≥115 mph

≥115 mph

$50 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington Observatory data show summit winds averaging under 10 mph with gusts below 20 mph through the first week of August 2026, consistent with the mountain’s typical summer pattern when the jet stream remains north and fewer strong mid-latitude systems reach New England. Historical August peak gusts at the summit rarely exceed 60–80 mph, far below the 231 mph April 1934 record, because warmer-season atmospheric stability and weaker pressure gradients limit extreme events. Traders are therefore pricing in a modest ceiling for the month’s maximum unless an unseasonal low-pressure system or remnant tropical moisture arrives later in August. Resolution hinges on official daily F6 reports from the observatory, with any new model consensus or NWS forecast updates that signal stronger winds capable of shifting implied probabilities.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,842
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington Observatory data show summit winds averaging under 10 mph with gusts below 20 mph through the first week of August 2026, consistent with the mountain’s typical summer pattern when the jet stream remains north and fewer strong mid-latitude systems reach New England. Historical August peak gusts at the summit rarely exceed 60–80 mph, far below the 231 mph April 1934 record, because warmer-season atmospheric stability and weaker pressure gradients limit extreme events. Traders are therefore pricing in a modest ceiling for the month’s maximum unless an unseasonal low-pressure system or remnant tropical moisture arrives later in August. Resolution hinges on official daily F6 reports from the observatory, with any new model consensus or NWS forecast updates that signal stronger winds capable of shifting implied probabilities.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,842
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "≥85 mph" di 98%, diikuti oleh "≥90 mph" di 98%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 28, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" adalah "≥85 mph" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "≥90 mph" di 98%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.