Elon Musk’s posting pace on X typically settles into moderate ranges during early September weekends absent major company milestones or viral news spikes, which explains why traders have priced the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clear favorite at 47.5% implied probability for the September 5-7 window. Recent three-day periods have frequently resolved in the 40-64 or 65-89 bands, reflecting his baseline mix of replies, reposts, and original commentary on Tesla Cybercab updates, Grok iterations, and SpaceX topics. With no high-profile announcements or controversies dominating headlines this weekend, the market sees limited upside risk for the higher brackets and assigns only modest probability to sub-40 outcomes. Upcoming chart or earnings catalysts later in the month could shift volume, but the immediate three-day outlook favors steady rather than elevated activity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 48%
65-89 29%
<40 20%
90-114 6.9%
BARU
$29,421 Vol.
BARU
$29,421 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
<40
20%
40-64
48%
65-89
29%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
65-89 29%
<40 20%
90-114 6.9%
BARU
$29,421 Vol.
BARU
$29,421 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
<40
$5,701 Vol.
20%
40-64
$5,246 Vol.
48%
65-89
$4,867 Vol.
29%
90-114
$4,134 Vol.
7%
115-139
$2,004 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,945 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$2,191 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$829 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,099 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X typically settles into moderate ranges during early September weekends absent major company milestones or viral news spikes, which explains why traders have priced the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clear favorite at 47.5% implied probability for the September 5-7 window. Recent three-day periods have frequently resolved in the 40-64 or 65-89 bands, reflecting his baseline mix of replies, reposts, and original commentary on Tesla Cybercab updates, Grok iterations, and SpaceX topics. With no high-profile announcements or controversies dominating headlines this weekend, the market sees limited upside risk for the higher brackets and assigns only modest probability to sub-40 outcomes. Upcoming chart or earnings catalysts later in the month could shift volume, but the immediate three-day outlook favors steady rather than elevated activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$29,421Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X typically settles into moderate ranges during early September weekends absent major company milestones or viral news spikes, which explains why traders have priced the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clear favorite at 47.5% implied probability for the September 5-7 window. Recent three-day periods have frequently resolved in the 40-64 or 65-89 bands, reflecting his baseline mix of replies, reposts, and original commentary on Tesla Cybercab updates, Grok iterations, and SpaceX topics. With no high-profile announcements or controversies dominating headlines this weekend, the market sees limited upside risk for the higher brackets and assigns only modest probability to sub-40 outcomes. Upcoming chart or earnings catalysts later in the month could shift volume, but the immediate three-day outlook favors steady rather than elevated activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$29,421Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace on X typically settles into moderate ranges during early September weekends absent major company milestones or viral news spikes, which explains why traders have priced the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clear favorite at 47.5% implied probability for the September 5-7 window. Recent three-day periods have frequently resolved in the 40-64 or 65-89 bands, reflecting his baseline mix of replies, reposts, and original commentary on Tesla Cybercab updates, Grok iterations, and SpaceX topics. With no high-profile announcements or controversies dominating headlines this weekend, the market sees limited upside risk for the higher brackets and assigns only modest probability to sub-40 outcomes. Upcoming chart or earnings catalysts later in the month could shift volume, but the immediate three-day outlook favors steady rather than elevated activity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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