Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDr. Furlan 93%
Marcos Reategui 3.3%
Clécio Luís 3.0%
Jairo Palheta 2.5%

Dr. Furlan
93%

Marcos Reategui
3%

Clécio Luís
3%

Jairo Palheta
3%

Carlos Cley
1%
Dr. Furlan 93%
Marcos Reategui 3.3%
Clécio Luís 3.0%
Jairo Palheta 2.5%

Dr. Furlan
93%

Marcos Reategui
3%

Clécio Luís
3%

Jairo Palheta
3%

Carlos Cley
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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