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Politik·Brasil

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Carlos Viana 47%

Marília Campos 38%

Domingos Sávio 14.5%

Marcelo Aro 3.9%

Polymarket

$18,741 Vol.

Carlos Viana 47%

Marília Campos 38%

Domingos Sávio 14.5%

Marcelo Aro 3.9%

Polymarket

$18,741 Vol.

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$6,631 Vol.

47%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$3,898 Vol.

38%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$1,932 Vol.

15%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$571 Vol.

4%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$443 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$452 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$453 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$388 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$412 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$483 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$421 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$461 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$447 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Minas Gerais Senate race for two seats remains highly fragmented heading into the October 4, 2026 election, with recent Datafolha polling showing Marília Campos (PT) at 11%, incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6%, Marcelo Aro (PP) at 5%, and a long tail of single-digit or lower contenders including Ana Luiza do MLB and Marco Antônio Superman. Mid-August candidate registrations with the TSE and asset declarations have kept over a dozen viable names active, preventing consolidation. This broad dispersion, combined with undecided voters and limited campaign momentum, sustains tight trader-implied probabilities for second place across leading options while underscoring how late polling shifts, alliance announcements, or turnout variations could reorder the field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,741
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Minas Gerais Senate race for two seats remains highly fragmented heading into the October 4, 2026 election, with recent Datafolha polling showing Marília Campos (PT) at 11%, incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6%, Marcelo Aro (PP) at 5%, and a long tail of single-digit or lower contenders including Ana Luiza do MLB and Marco Antônio Superman. Mid-August candidate registrations with the TSE and asset declarations have kept over a dozen viable names active, preventing consolidation. This broad dispersion, combined with undecided voters and limited campaign momentum, sustains tight trader-implied probabilities for second place across leading options while underscoring how late polling shifts, alliance announcements, or turnout variations could reorder the field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,741
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Terkait

icon for Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

63%
icon for Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

56%
icon for Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

47%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Carlos Viana" di 47%, diikuti oleh "Marília Campos" di 38%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 47¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" telah menghasilkan $18.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Carlos Viana" di 47%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marília Campos" di 38%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.