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icon for Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

icon for Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 80%

Pam Alexis 21%

Lakhwinder Jhaj <1%

Polymarket

$14,277 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 80%

Pam Alexis 21%

Lakhwinder Jhaj <1%

Polymarket

$14,277 Vol.

icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$12,418 Vol.

80%

icon for Pam Alexis

Pam Alexis

$992 Vol.

21%

icon for Lakhwinder Jhaj

Lakhwinder Jhaj

$868 Vol.

1%

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).**Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the September 26, 2026, Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election.** The BC Conservative leader is seeking a legislative seat after Reann Gasper resigned in late August specifically to enable her candidacy, following Findlay’s May 2026 leadership win. The riding’s 2024 result—Conservative 55.4 percent to NDP 44.6 percent—provides a favorable base, and an early internal poll showed Findlay ahead of rematch opponent Pam Alexis by roughly 15 points. Advance voting begins September 18, with final results expected shortly after polls close on the 26th. Minor-party candidates, including Green, CentreBC, and Libertarian nominees, are expected to draw limited support and have not shifted the two-way dynamic. Trader consensus reflects the short campaign timeline, Conservative incumbency advantage in the Fraser Valley riding, and absence of major late developments that would alter the outlook before voting concludes.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$14,277
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).**Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the September 26, 2026, Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election.** The BC Conservative leader is seeking a legislative seat after Reann Gasper resigned in late August specifically to enable her candidacy, following Findlay’s May 2026 leadership win. The riding’s 2024 result—Conservative 55.4 percent to NDP 44.6 percent—provides a favorable base, and an early internal poll showed Findlay ahead of rematch opponent Pam Alexis by roughly 15 points. Advance voting begins September 18, with final results expected shortly after polls close on the 26th. Minor-party candidates, including Green, CentreBC, and Libertarian nominees, are expected to draw limited support and have not shifted the two-way dynamic. Trader consensus reflects the short campaign timeline, Conservative incumbency advantage in the Fraser Valley riding, and absence of major late developments that would alter the outlook before voting concludes.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$14,277
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" di 80%, diikuti oleh "Pam Alexis" di 21%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 80¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $14.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 31, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" adalah "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" di 80%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Pam Alexis" di 21%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.