Canada's unemployment rate has stabilized near 6.4% in recent months, including August 2026, with the 2025 annual average at 6.91% and 2026 projections around 6.6%. These levels sit well below the 2016 annual rate of roughly 7.1% and far under the post-2016 peak of 9.7% in 2020. Labor market data show resilience despite targeted job losses in export sectors tied to U.S. tariffs, with wage growth cooling and participation rates holding steady. Market-implied odds of 93% on "No" reflect trader consensus that 2026 will not produce the highest rate since 2016, supported by forward-looking indicators like subdued inflation pressures and no signs of broad contraction. A sharp escalation in trade tensions or unexpected recession could still lift the rate materially, though current trends make that outcome unlikely before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7% संभावना
नया
नया
14 फ़र, 2027
7% संभावना
नया
नया
14 फ़र, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate has stabilized near 6.4% in recent months, including August 2026, with the 2025 annual average at 6.91% and 2026 projections around 6.6%. These levels sit well below the 2016 annual rate of roughly 7.1% and far under the post-2016 peak of 9.7% in 2020. Labor market data show resilience despite targeted job losses in export sectors tied to U.S. tariffs, with wage growth cooling and participation rates holding steady. Market-implied odds of 93% on "No" reflect trader consensus that 2026 will not produce the highest rate since 2016, supported by forward-looking indicators like subdued inflation pressures and no signs of broad contraction. A sharp escalation in trade tensions or unexpected recession could still lift the rate materially, though current trends make that outcome unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,384समाप्ति तिथि
15 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate has stabilized near 6.4% in recent months, including August 2026, with the 2025 annual average at 6.91% and 2026 projections around 6.6%. These levels sit well below the 2016 annual rate of roughly 7.1% and far under the post-2016 peak of 9.7% in 2020. Labor market data show resilience despite targeted job losses in export sectors tied to U.S. tariffs, with wage growth cooling and participation rates holding steady. Market-implied odds of 93% on "No" reflect trader consensus that 2026 will not produce the highest rate since 2016, supported by forward-looking indicators like subdued inflation pressures and no signs of broad contraction. A sharp escalation in trade tensions or unexpected recession could still lift the rate materially, though current trends make that outcome unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
वॉल्यूम
$9,384समाप्ति तिथि
15 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Canada's unemployment rate has stabilized near 6.4% in recent months, including August 2026, with the 2025 annual average at 6.91% and 2026 projections around 6.6%. These levels sit well below the 2016 annual rate of roughly 7.1% and far under the post-2016 peak of 9.7% in 2020. Labor market data show resilience despite targeted job losses in export sectors tied to U.S. tariffs, with wage growth cooling and participation rates holding steady. Market-implied odds of 93% on "No" reflect trader consensus that 2026 will not produce the highest rate since 2016, supported by forward-looking indicators like subdued inflation pressures and no signs of broad contraction. A sharp escalation in trade tensions or unexpected recession could still lift the rate materially, though current trends make that outcome unlikely before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न