Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow readings near 4.4% and upward revisions in the Philadelphia Fed Survey of Professional Forecasters to 2.5% for Q3 2026 reflect stronger-than-expected consumer spending and AI-related capital expenditures that have lifted trader-implied odds for the ≥3.0% bin to 45.5%. Q2 growth printed at 1.5% annualized, underscoring the role of recent data momentum in shifting consensus. Persistent core PCE inflation around 3.4% year-over-year, stable unemployment near 4.1%, and the possibility of Fed tightening under Chair Warsh introduce downside risks that support the 2.0–2.5% bin at 20%. Markets price these probabilities based on incoming monthly indicators ahead of the BEA advance estimate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाQ3 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
Q3 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
≥3.0% 46%
2.0–2.5% 21%
2.5–3.0% 12%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$25,715 वॉल्यूम
$25,715 वॉल्यूम
29 अक्टू, 2026
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
4%
1.0–1.5%
5%
1.5–2.0%
9%
2.0–2.5%
21%
2.5–3.0%
12%
≥3.0%
46%
≥3.0% 46%
2.0–2.5% 21%
2.5–3.0% 12%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$25,715 वॉल्यूम
$25,715 वॉल्यूम
29 अक्टू, 2026
<0.5%
$906 वॉल्यूम
3%
0.5–1.0%
$559 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.0–1.5%
$660 वॉल्यूम
5%
1.5–2.0%
$718 वॉल्यूम
9%
2.0–2.5%
$1,885 वॉल्यूम
21%
2.5–3.0%
$3,391 वॉल्यूम
12%
≥3.0%
$17,596 वॉल्यूम
46%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow readings near 4.4% and upward revisions in the Philadelphia Fed Survey of Professional Forecasters to 2.5% for Q3 2026 reflect stronger-than-expected consumer spending and AI-related capital expenditures that have lifted trader-implied odds for the ≥3.0% bin to 45.5%. Q2 growth printed at 1.5% annualized, underscoring the role of recent data momentum in shifting consensus. Persistent core PCE inflation around 3.4% year-over-year, stable unemployment near 4.1%, and the possibility of Fed tightening under Chair Warsh introduce downside risks that support the 2.0–2.5% bin at 20%. Markets price these probabilities based on incoming monthly indicators ahead of the BEA advance estimate.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,715समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow readings near 4.4% and upward revisions in the Philadelphia Fed Survey of Professional Forecasters to 2.5% for Q3 2026 reflect stronger-than-expected consumer spending and AI-related capital expenditures that have lifted trader-implied odds for the ≥3.0% bin to 45.5%. Q2 growth printed at 1.5% annualized, underscoring the role of recent data momentum in shifting consensus. Persistent core PCE inflation around 3.4% year-over-year, stable unemployment near 4.1%, and the possibility of Fed tightening under Chair Warsh introduce downside risks that support the 2.0–2.5% bin at 20%. Markets price these probabilities based on incoming monthly indicators ahead of the BEA advance estimate.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
वॉल्यूम
$25,715समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow readings near 4.4% and upward revisions in the Philadelphia Fed Survey of Professional Forecasters to 2.5% for Q3 2026 reflect stronger-than-expected consumer spending and AI-related capital expenditures that have lifted trader-implied odds for the ≥3.0% bin to 45.5%. Q2 growth printed at 1.5% annualized, underscoring the role of recent data momentum in shifting consensus. Persistent core PCE inflation around 3.4% year-over-year, stable unemployment near 4.1%, and the possibility of Fed tightening under Chair Warsh introduce downside risks that support the 2.0–2.5% bin at 20%. Markets price these probabilities based on incoming monthly indicators ahead of the BEA advance estimate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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