Recent US Drought Monitor data through late August 2026 show D4 exceptional drought confined to roughly seven states, primarily in the West and South (Idaho, New Mexico, Nebraska, Nevada, Arkansas, Mississippi, North Carolina), covering about 1.5–1.75% of the contiguous US amid widespread D1–D3 conditions affecting 47–56% of the Lower 48. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.8°C and over 90% chance of a very strong event by fall, introduces uncertainty: it typically favors above-normal precipitation in the western CONUS during September, potentially limiting further D4 expansion, while persistent heat domes, soil moisture deficits, and variable monsoon activity could sustain or broaden exceptional drought in the Great Plains and Rockies. Upcoming weekly USDM updates and short-term precipitation forecasts will be key resolution drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 सितंबर, 2026 के D4 (असाधारण सूखा) सप्ताह में कितने राज्य होंगे?
1 सितंबर, 2026 के D4 (असाधारण सूखा) सप्ताह में कितने राज्य होंगे?
1-2 राज्य 38%
3-4 राज्य 38%
5-6 राज्य 38%
7-9 राज्य 38%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
0 राज्य
2%
1-2 राज्य
38%
3-4 राज्य
38%
5-6 राज्य
38%
7-9 राज्य
38%
10 या उससे अधिक राज्य
47%
1-2 राज्य 38%
3-4 राज्य 38%
5-6 राज्य 38%
7-9 राज्य 38%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
0 राज्य
$51 वॉल्यूम
2%
1-2 राज्य
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
3-4 राज्य
$1 वॉल्यूम
38%
5-6 राज्य
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
7-9 राज्य
$1 वॉल्यूम
38%
10 या उससे अधिक राज्य
$89 वॉल्यूम
47%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 1, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent US Drought Monitor data through late August 2026 show D4 exceptional drought confined to roughly seven states, primarily in the West and South (Idaho, New Mexico, Nebraska, Nevada, Arkansas, Mississippi, North Carolina), covering about 1.5–1.75% of the contiguous US amid widespread D1–D3 conditions affecting 47–56% of the Lower 48. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.8°C and over 90% chance of a very strong event by fall, introduces uncertainty: it typically favors above-normal precipitation in the western CONUS during September, potentially limiting further D4 expansion, while persistent heat domes, soil moisture deficits, and variable monsoon activity could sustain or broaden exceptional drought in the Great Plains and Rockies. Upcoming weekly USDM updates and short-term precipitation forecasts will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 1, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$142समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 1, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent US Drought Monitor data through late August 2026 show D4 exceptional drought confined to roughly seven states, primarily in the West and South (Idaho, New Mexico, Nebraska, Nevada, Arkansas, Mississippi, North Carolina), covering about 1.5–1.75% of the contiguous US amid widespread D1–D3 conditions affecting 47–56% of the Lower 48. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.8°C and over 90% chance of a very strong event by fall, introduces uncertainty: it typically favors above-normal precipitation in the western CONUS during September, potentially limiting further D4 expansion, while persistent heat domes, soil moisture deficits, and variable monsoon activity could sustain or broaden exceptional drought in the Great Plains and Rockies. Upcoming weekly USDM updates and short-term precipitation forecasts will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 1, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
वॉल्यूम
$142समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent US Drought Monitor data through late August 2026 show D4 exceptional drought confined to roughly seven states, primarily in the West and South (Idaho, New Mexico, Nebraska, Nevada, Arkansas, Mississippi, North Carolina), covering about 1.5–1.75% of the contiguous US amid widespread D1–D3 conditions affecting 47–56% of the Lower 48. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.8°C and over 90% chance of a very strong event by fall, introduces uncertainty: it typically favors above-normal precipitation in the western CONUS during September, potentially limiting further D4 expansion, while persistent heat domes, soil moisture deficits, and variable monsoon activity could sustain or broaden exceptional drought in the Great Plains and Rockies. Upcoming weekly USDM updates and short-term precipitation forecasts will be key resolution drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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