No qualifying extreme events have materialized through mid-August 2026, keeping trader consensus at 76% for "No." USGS data show the strongest quake so far at 7.4 magnitude in Colombia, well below the 8.5 threshold, while NOAA and NHC records confirm no Category 5 U.S. hurricane landfalls and no VEI 6+ volcanic eruptions. Typical seasonal activity—12 U.S. billion-dollar disasters dominated by severe storms, regional floods, and wildfires—remains within historical norms but short of the market's strict criteria. Ongoing seismic and atmospheric monitoring indicates no imminent shifts that would favor outliers before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में प्राकृतिक आपदा?
2026 में प्राकृतिक आपदा?
हाँ
24% संभावना
$240,985 वॉल्यूम
$240,985 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
24% संभावना
$240,985 वॉल्यूम
$240,985 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No qualifying extreme events have materialized through mid-August 2026, keeping trader consensus at 76% for "No." USGS data show the strongest quake so far at 7.4 magnitude in Colombia, well below the 8.5 threshold, while NOAA and NHC records confirm no Category 5 U.S. hurricane landfalls and no VEI 6+ volcanic eruptions. Typical seasonal activity—12 U.S. billion-dollar disasters dominated by severe storms, regional floods, and wildfires—remains within historical norms but short of the market's strict criteria. Ongoing seismic and atmospheric monitoring indicates no imminent shifts that would favor outliers before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$240,985समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No qualifying extreme events have materialized through mid-August 2026, keeping trader consensus at 76% for "No." USGS data show the strongest quake so far at 7.4 magnitude in Colombia, well below the 8.5 threshold, while NOAA and NHC records confirm no Category 5 U.S. hurricane landfalls and no VEI 6+ volcanic eruptions. Typical seasonal activity—12 U.S. billion-dollar disasters dominated by severe storms, regional floods, and wildfires—remains within historical norms but short of the market's strict criteria. Ongoing seismic and atmospheric monitoring indicates no imminent shifts that would favor outliers before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$240,985समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No qualifying extreme events have materialized through mid-August 2026, keeping trader consensus at 76% for "No." USGS data show the strongest quake so far at 7.4 magnitude in Colombia, well below the 8.5 threshold, while NOAA and NHC records confirm no Category 5 U.S. hurricane landfalls and no VEI 6+ volcanic eruptions. Typical seasonal activity—12 U.S. billion-dollar disasters dominated by severe storms, regional floods, and wildfires—remains within historical norms but short of the market's strict criteria. Ongoing seismic and atmospheric monitoring indicates no imminent shifts that would favor outliers before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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