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Polymarket

$15,234 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

$15,234 वॉल्यूम

Democratic Party

$7,118 वॉल्यूम

92%

Republican Party

$8,117 वॉल्यूम

9%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election.** She advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary and enters the race with substantial cash reserves exceeding $4 million, established labor and organizational support, and a record focused on manufacturing and regional economic issues across the Saginaw Bay and Tri-Cities area. The district carries a narrow R+1 partisan voter index and Rivet secured 51.3% in 2024, while nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the seat Likely Democratic or stronger. On the Republican side, Thomas J. Smith won a divided primary after suspending his campaign, limiting visibility and unified institutional backing. Trader consensus at 91.5% Democratic reflects these structural and resource advantages. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events, unusually strong national Republican turnout in key counties like Genesee or Saginaw, or significant changes in fundraising dynamics between now and Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$15,234
समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election.** She advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary and enters the race with substantial cash reserves exceeding $4 million, established labor and organizational support, and a record focused on manufacturing and regional economic issues across the Saginaw Bay and Tri-Cities area. The district carries a narrow R+1 partisan voter index and Rivet secured 51.3% in 2024, while nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the seat Likely Democratic or stronger. On the Republican side, Thomas J. Smith won a divided primary after suspending his campaign, limiting visibility and unified institutional backing. Trader consensus at 91.5% Democratic reflects these structural and resource advantages. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events, unusually strong national Republican turnout in key counties like Genesee or Saginaw, or significant changes in fundraising dynamics between now and Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$15,234
समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"MI-08 House Election Winner" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, Democratic Party 92% (92¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद Republican Party 9% पर है।

आज तक, "MI-08 House Election Winner" ने कुल $15.2K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Dec 16, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"MI-08 House Election Winner" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"MI-08 House Election Winner" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "Democratic Party" 92% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "Republican Party" 9% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"MI-08 House Election Winner" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।