Recent polling and seat projections for the October 5 Quebec provincial election show the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) holding steady near 14-16% support, with models estimating roughly 5-11 seats and wide ranges reflecting regional concentration in areas like the Quebec City region. The tight market between the 8-10 and 11-13 seat brackets stems from vote efficiency in multi-party contests, the new 127-riding map, and early-campaign volatility as the PQ leads overall while the CAQ narrows gaps in francophone ridings. PCQ leader Éric Duhaime’s platform and candidacy in Bellechasse could influence outcomes, but further polling, debate performances, and shifts in second-choice preferences among CAQ or PQ voters may determine whether PCQ secures single-digit or low-teen representation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11-13 24%
8-10 21%
<5 14%
5-7 11%
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
<5
14%
5-7
11%
8-10
21%
11-13
24%
14-16
11%
17+ सीटें
6%
11-13 24%
8-10 21%
<5 14%
5-7 11%
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
<5
$1,190 वॉल्यूम
14%
5-7
$321 वॉल्यूम
11%
8-10
$789 वॉल्यूम
21%
11-13
$907 वॉल्यूम
24%
14-16
$704 वॉल्यूम
11%
17+ सीटें
$676 वॉल्यूम
6%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling and seat projections for the October 5 Quebec provincial election show the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) holding steady near 14-16% support, with models estimating roughly 5-11 seats and wide ranges reflecting regional concentration in areas like the Quebec City region. The tight market between the 8-10 and 11-13 seat brackets stems from vote efficiency in multi-party contests, the new 127-riding map, and early-campaign volatility as the PQ leads overall while the CAQ narrows gaps in francophone ridings. PCQ leader Éric Duhaime’s platform and candidacy in Bellechasse could influence outcomes, but further polling, debate performances, and shifts in second-choice preferences among CAQ or PQ voters may determine whether PCQ secures single-digit or low-teen representation.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,586समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling and seat projections for the October 5 Quebec provincial election show the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) holding steady near 14-16% support, with models estimating roughly 5-11 seats and wide ranges reflecting regional concentration in areas like the Quebec City region. The tight market between the 8-10 and 11-13 seat brackets stems from vote efficiency in multi-party contests, the new 127-riding map, and early-campaign volatility as the PQ leads overall while the CAQ narrows gaps in francophone ridings. PCQ leader Éric Duhaime’s platform and candidacy in Bellechasse could influence outcomes, but further polling, debate performances, and shifts in second-choice preferences among CAQ or PQ voters may determine whether PCQ secures single-digit or low-teen representation.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$4,586समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and seat projections for the October 5 Quebec provincial election show the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) holding steady near 14-16% support, with models estimating roughly 5-11 seats and wide ranges reflecting regional concentration in areas like the Quebec City region. The tight market between the 8-10 and 11-13 seat brackets stems from vote efficiency in multi-party contests, the new 127-riding map, and early-campaign volatility as the PQ leads overall while the CAQ narrows gaps in francophone ridings. PCQ leader Éric Duhaime’s platform and candidacy in Bellechasse could influence outcomes, but further polling, debate performances, and shifts in second-choice preferences among CAQ or PQ voters may determine whether PCQ secures single-digit or low-teen representation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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