High advance voting exceeding 23% of the electorate, combined with stronger-than-usual midday participation on August 29 across Reykjavík constituencies and rural districts, has anchored trader expectations for elevated turnout. Historical Icelandic national votes, including the 2024 parliamentary election at roughly 80%, provide a baseline, while the referendum's divisiveness over fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and geopolitical factors like U.S. policy shifts encouraged broad engagement. Preliminary figures showed rates near 60% in the capital rising to over 80% in some rural areas by evening, aligning with the tight market split between 75–80% and 80–85% bands. Final official results, expected shortly, could clarify any late-day shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया70–75% 41%
85%+ 25%
<45% 22.6%
45–50% 15.0%
$894 वॉल्यूम
$894 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
<45%
23%
45–50%
15%
50–55%
7%
55–60%
7%
60–65%
15%
65–70%
1%
70–75%
41%
75–80%
-
80–85%
51%
85%+
25%
70–75% 41%
85%+ 25%
<45% 22.6%
45–50% 15.0%
$894 वॉल्यूम
$894 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
<45%
$99 वॉल्यूम
23%
45–50%
$60 वॉल्यूम
15%
50–55%
$60 वॉल्यूम
7%
55–60%
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
60–65%
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
65–70%
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
70–75%
$15 वॉल्यूम
41%
75–80%
$60 वॉल्यूम
-
80–85%
$144 वॉल्यूम
51%
85%+
$456 वॉल्यूम
25%
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.High advance voting exceeding 23% of the electorate, combined with stronger-than-usual midday participation on August 29 across Reykjavík constituencies and rural districts, has anchored trader expectations for elevated turnout. Historical Icelandic national votes, including the 2024 parliamentary election at roughly 80%, provide a baseline, while the referendum's divisiveness over fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and geopolitical factors like U.S. policy shifts encouraged broad engagement. Preliminary figures showed rates near 60% in the capital rising to over 80% in some rural areas by evening, aligning with the tight market split between 75–80% and 80–85% bands. Final official results, expected shortly, could clarify any late-day shifts.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$894समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.High advance voting exceeding 23% of the electorate, combined with stronger-than-usual midday participation on August 29 across Reykjavík constituencies and rural districts, has anchored trader expectations for elevated turnout. Historical Icelandic national votes, including the 2024 parliamentary election at roughly 80%, provide a baseline, while the referendum's divisiveness over fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and geopolitical factors like U.S. policy shifts encouraged broad engagement. Preliminary figures showed rates near 60% in the capital rising to over 80% in some rural areas by evening, aligning with the tight market split between 75–80% and 80–85% bands. Final official results, expected shortly, could clarify any late-day shifts.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$894समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...High advance voting exceeding 23% of the electorate, combined with stronger-than-usual midday participation on August 29 across Reykjavík constituencies and rural districts, has anchored trader expectations for elevated turnout. Historical Icelandic national votes, including the 2024 parliamentary election at roughly 80%, provide a baseline, while the referendum's divisiveness over fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and geopolitical factors like U.S. policy shifts encouraged broad engagement. Preliminary figures showed rates near 60% in the capital rising to over 80% in some rural areas by evening, aligning with the tight market split between 75–80% and 80–85% bands. Final official results, expected shortly, could clarify any late-day shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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