Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds an 77.5% implied probability of finishing first in the state's October 2026 Senate election, reflecting August polling from firms such as Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil Inteligência that place him at 30-38% in first-round voting intentions. His established statewide profile, recent campaign launch, and alignment with right-leaning voters in a state that typically favors conservative candidates underpin this trader consensus. Multiple lower-probability contenders, including Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT), trail in surveys, while the two-seat structure and fragmented field increase the chance that Azambuja secures the top spot without a runoff for individual ranking. No major late shifts have altered these dynamics in the past month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारेयनाल्डो अज़ामबुजा 78%
वाल्डेरी गार्सिया 7.0%
कैपिताओ कोंटार 6%
डैनियल जूनियर 5.1%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
रेयनाल्डो अज़ामबुजा
78%
वाल्डेरी गार्सिया
7%
कैपिताओ कोंटार
6%
डैनियल जूनियर
5%
रोबर्टो ओशिरो
5%
वांडर लोउबेट
5%
सोराया
3%
वाल्टर दा कोमग्रान
3%
बेटो डो मूविमेंटो
3%
लुइज़ लेमेस
3%
रेयनाल्डो अज़ामबुजा 78%
वाल्डेरी गार्सिया 7.0%
कैपिताओ कोंटार 6%
डैनियल जूनियर 5.1%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
रेयनाल्डो अज़ामबुजा
$540 वॉल्यूम
78%
वाल्डेरी गार्सिया
$43 वॉल्यूम
7%
कैपिताओ कोंटार
$55 वॉल्यूम
6%
डैनियल जूनियर
$43 वॉल्यूम
5%
रोबर्टो ओशिरो
$114 वॉल्यूम
5%
वांडर लोउबेट
$43 वॉल्यूम
5%
सोराया
$43 वॉल्यूम
3%
वाल्टर दा कोमग्रान
$112 वॉल्यूम
3%
बेटो डो मूविमेंटो
$43 वॉल्यूम
3%
लुइज़ लेमेस
$64 वॉल्यूम
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds an 77.5% implied probability of finishing first in the state's October 2026 Senate election, reflecting August polling from firms such as Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil Inteligência that place him at 30-38% in first-round voting intentions. His established statewide profile, recent campaign launch, and alignment with right-leaning voters in a state that typically favors conservative candidates underpin this trader consensus. Multiple lower-probability contenders, including Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT), trail in surveys, while the two-seat structure and fragmented field increase the chance that Azambuja secures the top spot without a runoff for individual ranking. No major late shifts have altered these dynamics in the past month.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,100समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds an 77.5% implied probability of finishing first in the state's October 2026 Senate election, reflecting August polling from firms such as Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil Inteligência that place him at 30-38% in first-round voting intentions. His established statewide profile, recent campaign launch, and alignment with right-leaning voters in a state that typically favors conservative candidates underpin this trader consensus. Multiple lower-probability contenders, including Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT), trail in surveys, while the two-seat structure and fragmented field increase the chance that Azambuja secures the top spot without a runoff for individual ranking. No major late shifts have altered these dynamics in the past month.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$1,100समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds an 77.5% implied probability of finishing first in the state's October 2026 Senate election, reflecting August polling from firms such as Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil Inteligência that place him at 30-38% in first-round voting intentions. His established statewide profile, recent campaign launch, and alignment with right-leaning voters in a state that typically favors conservative candidates underpin this trader consensus. Multiple lower-probability contenders, including Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT), trail in surveys, while the two-seat structure and fragmented field increase the chance that Azambuja secures the top spot without a runoff for individual ranking. No major late shifts have altered these dynamics in the past month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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