Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding position in the race for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate contest, driven by repeated leads in voter intention surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha. The most recent poll, released August 17, placed her at 29 percent, well ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Her consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as a former federal deputy, strategic alignment with national issues such as sovereignty and the Lula administration, and recent campaign adjustments including the naming of substitutes. Miguel Coelho’s withdrawal has further consolidated support around the frontrunners. Trader consensus assigns Arraes the highest implied probability for first place, reflecting these polling trends and the two-seat electoral structure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMarília Arraes 73%
Humberto Costa 16.8%
Mendonça Filho 7.4%
Carlos Sant'Anna 5.0%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
Marília Arraes
73%
Humberto Costa
16%
Mendonça Filho
7%
Carlos Sant'Anna
5%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
4%
Mailson da Silva Neto
3%
Samuel Timoteo
3%
Túlio Gadêlha
1%
Gorett Bitu
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
1%
Eduardo da Fonte
1%
Mariano Macedo
1%
Marília Arraes 73%
Humberto Costa 16.8%
Mendonça Filho 7.4%
Carlos Sant'Anna 5.0%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
Marília Arraes
$3,889 वॉल्यूम
73%
Humberto Costa
$462 वॉल्यूम
16%
Mendonça Filho
$146 वॉल्यूम
7%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$143 वॉल्यूम
5%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$146 वॉल्यूम
4%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$174 वॉल्यूम
3%
Samuel Timoteo
$168 वॉल्यूम
3%
Túlio Gadêlha
$146 वॉल्यूम
1%
Gorett Bitu
$146 वॉल्यूम
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$146 वॉल्यूम
1%
Eduardo da Fonte
$143 वॉल्यूम
1%
Mariano Macedo
$154 वॉल्यूम
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding position in the race for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate contest, driven by repeated leads in voter intention surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha. The most recent poll, released August 17, placed her at 29 percent, well ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Her consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as a former federal deputy, strategic alignment with national issues such as sovereignty and the Lula administration, and recent campaign adjustments including the naming of substitutes. Miguel Coelho’s withdrawal has further consolidated support around the frontrunners. Trader consensus assigns Arraes the highest implied probability for first place, reflecting these polling trends and the two-seat electoral structure.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,865समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding position in the race for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate contest, driven by repeated leads in voter intention surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha. The most recent poll, released August 17, placed her at 29 percent, well ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Her consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as a former federal deputy, strategic alignment with national issues such as sovereignty and the Lula administration, and recent campaign adjustments including the naming of substitutes. Miguel Coelho’s withdrawal has further consolidated support around the frontrunners. Trader consensus assigns Arraes the highest implied probability for first place, reflecting these polling trends and the two-seat electoral structure.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$5,865समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding position in the race for first place in Pernambuco’s 2026 Senate contest, driven by repeated leads in voter intention surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha. The most recent poll, released August 17, placed her at 29 percent, well ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Her consistent advantage stems from strong name recognition as a former federal deputy, strategic alignment with national issues such as sovereignty and the Lula administration, and recent campaign adjustments including the naming of substitutes. Miguel Coelho’s withdrawal has further consolidated support around the frontrunners. Trader consensus assigns Arraes the highest implied probability for first place, reflecting these polling trends and the two-seat electoral structure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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