Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31 near 25°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly to northwesterly winds typical of late Mediterranean summer. This aligns closely with climatological averages for the period, with overnight radiative cooling limited by humidity around 60-75% and no incoming fronts or significant moisture. The market's elevated implied probability on 21°C or below (45.5%) versus clustered odds around 23-25°C likely reflects trader weighting of forecast uncertainty ranges and historical variability in minimums, rather than any recent cooling signals. Stable conditions through the final 24 hours before resolution leave little scope for sharp downward shifts absent unexpected model divergence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को तेल अवीव में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C or below 45%
23°C 30%
26°C 23%
22°C 21%
21°C or below
45%
22°C
21%
23°C
30%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
23%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 45%
23°C 30%
26°C 23%
22°C 21%
21°C or below
45%
22°C
21%
23°C
30%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
23%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31 near 25°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly to northwesterly winds typical of late Mediterranean summer. This aligns closely with climatological averages for the period, with overnight radiative cooling limited by humidity around 60-75% and no incoming fronts or significant moisture. The market's elevated implied probability on 21°C or below (45.5%) versus clustered odds around 23-25°C likely reflects trader weighting of forecast uncertainty ranges and historical variability in minimums, rather than any recent cooling signals. Stable conditions through the final 24 hours before resolution leave little scope for sharp downward shifts absent unexpected model divergence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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