**Clear skies, strong daytime heating under a stable high-pressure system, and light southerly winds are driving Milan’s peak temperature toward 30–31 °C on 30 August 2026.** Official and model guidance from sources such as ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and globalmeteo consistently show a daytime maximum near 30 °C (afternoon readings 30–31 °C), with some ensemble members reaching 32 °C but little support for 33 °C or higher. Sunny conditions and low cloud cover allow efficient solar insolation, while dew points in the low-to-mid teens Celsius limit evaporative cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley further support the upper end of the 30–31 °C range. Recent model runs and real-time observations (midday temperatures already 28–30 °C) have tightened the distribution around 30 °C, producing the market’s dominant 89.5 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C and 9.5 % for 31 °C. Higher outcomes remain at 0.4 % each because sustained clear, dry conditions would be required to push the daily maximum beyond 32 °C, a scenario not favored by the current steering flow or thermodynamic profiles. Lower bins (<29 °C) carry negligible probability given the absence of cooling mechanisms. Updated forecast guidance and final observational reports will determine resolution, but current consensus strongly anchors trader pricing near the 30–31 °C cluster.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 93%
31°C 6%
33°C or higher <1%
32°C <1%
$36,898 वॉल्यूम
$36,898 वॉल्यूम
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
93%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 93%
31°C 6%
33°C or higher <1%
32°C <1%
$36,898 वॉल्यूम
$36,898 वॉल्यूम
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
93%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, strong daytime heating under a stable high-pressure system, and light southerly winds are driving Milan’s peak temperature toward 30–31 °C on 30 August 2026.** Official and model guidance from sources such as ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and globalmeteo consistently show a daytime maximum near 30 °C (afternoon readings 30–31 °C), with some ensemble members reaching 32 °C but little support for 33 °C or higher. Sunny conditions and low cloud cover allow efficient solar insolation, while dew points in the low-to-mid teens Celsius limit evaporative cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley further support the upper end of the 30–31 °C range. Recent model runs and real-time observations (midday temperatures already 28–30 °C) have tightened the distribution around 30 °C, producing the market’s dominant 89.5 % implied probability for exactly 30 °C and 9.5 % for 31 °C. Higher outcomes remain at 0.4 % each because sustained clear, dry conditions would be required to push the daily maximum beyond 32 °C, a scenario not favored by the current steering flow or thermodynamic profiles. Lower bins (<29 °C) carry negligible probability given the absence of cooling mechanisms. Updated forecast guidance and final observational reports will determine resolution, but current consensus strongly anchors trader pricing near the 30–31 °C cluster.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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