Recent cooling following a mid-August heatwave in northern France has positioned trader sentiment around 15–17°C minima for Paris on August 20, with models showing a shift to a fresher Atlantic air mass under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C as radiative cooling is moderated by stratiform clouds and moderate westerly flow, while slight variations in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could push the minimum to 14°C or hold it at 17°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 15°C, but the current pattern’s modest onshore advection creates tight clustering around these thresholds rather than deeper cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine dewpoint and wind profiles ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C 29%
15°C 27%
17°C 25%
18°C 10%
11°C या उससे कम
<1%
12°C
5%
13°C
5%
14°C
7%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
25%
18°C
10%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C या उससे अधिक
1%
16°C 29%
15°C 27%
17°C 25%
18°C 10%
11°C या उससे कम
<1%
12°C
5%
13°C
5%
14°C
7%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
25%
18°C
10%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C या उससे अधिक
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cooling following a mid-August heatwave in northern France has positioned trader sentiment around 15–17°C minima for Paris on August 20, with models showing a shift to a fresher Atlantic air mass under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C as radiative cooling is moderated by stratiform clouds and moderate westerly flow, while slight variations in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could push the minimum to 14°C or hold it at 17°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 15°C, but the current pattern’s modest onshore advection creates tight clustering around these thresholds rather than deeper cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine dewpoint and wind profiles ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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