Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are keeping Wellington’s daytime maxima suppressed near 10–12 °C on August 18, aligning with MetService forecasts and explaining the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability on 12 °C. August climatology supports typical highs around 12 °C under a temperate maritime regime, but persistent showery southwesterlies and limited insolation from marine air masses have produced recent analogs resolving at 10–11 °C. Model consensus indicates minimal warming potential before the next frontal passage, with official Kelburn and airport observations determining resolution. A shift toward 13 °C or higher would require clearer skies or delayed shower timing to enhance solar heating, while colder intrusions could push readings lower.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
12°C 99.4%
13°C <1%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
नया
$88,183 वॉल्यूम
नया
$88,183 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
99%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.4%
13°C <1%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
नया
$88,183 वॉल्यूम
नया
$88,183 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
6°C or below
$339 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7°C
$850 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8°C
$1,498 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$3,896 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$11,605 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$32,898 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$18,745 वॉल्यूम
99%
13°C
$7,680 वॉल्यूम
1%
14°C
$4,732 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$4,105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C or higher
$1,836 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are keeping Wellington’s daytime maxima suppressed near 10–12 °C on August 18, aligning with MetService forecasts and explaining the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability on 12 °C. August climatology supports typical highs around 12 °C under a temperate maritime regime, but persistent showery southwesterlies and limited insolation from marine air masses have produced recent analogs resolving at 10–11 °C. Model consensus indicates minimal warming potential before the next frontal passage, with official Kelburn and airport observations determining resolution. A shift toward 13 °C or higher would require clearer skies or delayed shower timing to enhance solar heating, while colder intrusions could push readings lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$88,183समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are keeping Wellington’s daytime maxima suppressed near 10–12 °C on August 18, aligning with MetService forecasts and explaining the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability on 12 °C. August climatology supports typical highs around 12 °C under a temperate maritime regime, but persistent showery southwesterlies and limited insolation from marine air masses have produced recent analogs resolving at 10–11 °C. Model consensus indicates minimal warming potential before the next frontal passage, with official Kelburn and airport observations determining resolution. A shift toward 13 °C or higher would require clearer skies or delayed shower timing to enhance solar heating, while colder intrusions could push readings lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$88,183समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are keeping Wellington’s daytime maxima suppressed near 10–12 °C on August 18, aligning with MetService forecasts and explaining the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability on 12 °C. August climatology supports typical highs around 12 °C under a temperate maritime regime, but persistent showery southwesterlies and limited insolation from marine air masses have produced recent analogs resolving at 10–11 °C. Model consensus indicates minimal warming potential before the next frontal passage, with official Kelburn and airport observations determining resolution. A shift toward 13 °C or higher would require clearer skies or delayed shower timing to enhance solar heating, while colder intrusions could push readings lower.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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