Current forecasts for Paris on August 18 indicate a mild, muggy night with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting an overnight low near 19°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the tightly matched 19°C (50.5%) and 20°C (42.5%) market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under broken cloud cover allows moderate temperature drops after daytime highs near 29–30°C, while urban heat retention and humidity limit further decline. Slight variations in exact minimum hinge on precise cloud timing and local measurement sites, with models showing minor divergence around these thresholds. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, placing today's conditions slightly above baseline and explaining why probabilities cluster here rather than at cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs or real-time observations could refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
20°C 59%
19°C 50%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
15°C या उससे कम
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
50%
20°C
44%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
20°C 59%
19°C 50%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
15°C या उससे कम
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
50%
20°C
44%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Paris on August 18 indicate a mild, muggy night with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting an overnight low near 19°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the tightly matched 19°C (50.5%) and 20°C (42.5%) market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under broken cloud cover allows moderate temperature drops after daytime highs near 29–30°C, while urban heat retention and humidity limit further decline. Slight variations in exact minimum hinge on precise cloud timing and local measurement sites, with models showing minor divergence around these thresholds. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, placing today's conditions slightly above baseline and explaining why probabilities cluster here rather than at cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs or real-time observations could refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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