Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Milan peak temperatures most likely between 31–33°C under persistent high pressure over northern Italy, driving the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud timing, and any convective instability create the narrow spread, while Po Valley urban heat island effects and moderate humidity support readings near the upper end of climatological norms. Historical August maxima average near 30°C, but current conditions favor slight exceedance without strong cooling mechanisms. Updated model runs and official observations from regional stations will refine the final resolution as the day progresses.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 45%
32°C 42%
33°C 9%
30°C 6.3%
$37,766 वॉल्यूम
$37,766 वॉल्यूम
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
45%
32°C
42%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 42%
33°C 9%
30°C 6.3%
$37,766 वॉल्यूम
$37,766 वॉल्यूम
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
45%
32°C
42%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Milan peak temperatures most likely between 31–33°C under persistent high pressure over northern Italy, driving the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud timing, and any convective instability create the narrow spread, while Po Valley urban heat island effects and moderate humidity support readings near the upper end of climatological norms. Historical August maxima average near 30°C, but current conditions favor slight exceedance without strong cooling mechanisms. Updated model runs and official observations from regional stations will refine the final resolution as the day progresses.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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