Trader consensus around a 17°C low in Paris on August 1, 2026, reflects consistent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that level under typical summer conditions. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, aligning with climatological August minima near 15–16°C while current synoptic patterns favor a slightly warmer outcome. The 96.5% implied probability captures high model agreement on this threshold, with resolution likely based on official hourly observations. A realistic shift below 17°C would require stronger-than-anticipated cold advection or clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, though recent model runs show limited support for such changes before the overnight period ends.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
1 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
17°C 97%
16°C या उससे कम 4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
नया
नया
1 अग, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
4%
17°C
97%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
17°C 97%
16°C या उससे कम 4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
नया
नया
1 अग, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
$2,024 वॉल्यूम
4%
17°C
$2,462 वॉल्यूम
97%
18°C
$877 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$459 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$241 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$434 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$345 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$833 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$339 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$333 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C या उससे अधिक
$332 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 17°C low in Paris on August 1, 2026, reflects consistent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that level under typical summer conditions. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, aligning with climatological August minima near 15–16°C while current synoptic patterns favor a slightly warmer outcome. The 96.5% implied probability captures high model agreement on this threshold, with resolution likely based on official hourly observations. A realistic shift below 17°C would require stronger-than-anticipated cold advection or clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, though recent model runs show limited support for such changes before the overnight period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,680समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 17°C low in Paris on August 1, 2026, reflects consistent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that level under typical summer conditions. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, aligning with climatological August minima near 15–16°C while current synoptic patterns favor a slightly warmer outcome. The 96.5% implied probability captures high model agreement on this threshold, with resolution likely based on official hourly observations. A realistic shift below 17°C would require stronger-than-anticipated cold advection or clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, though recent model runs show limited support for such changes before the overnight period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$8,680समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus around a 17°C low in Paris on August 1, 2026, reflects consistent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that level under typical summer conditions. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, aligning with climatological August minima near 15–16°C while current synoptic patterns favor a slightly warmer outcome. The 96.5% implied probability captures high model agreement on this threshold, with resolution likely based on official hourly observations. A realistic shift below 17°C would require stronger-than-anticipated cold advection or clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, though recent model runs show limited support for such changes before the overnight period ends.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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