**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 3 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty, with the two leading outcomes—20°C or below (34.5%) and 30°C or higher (32.5%)—nearly tied amid a cluster of mid-20s probabilities around 25%.** This distribution signals that models have not converged on a narrow range, leaving room for both cooler nocturnal cooling and warmer, more humid conditions. In Panama’s tropical climate, overnight lows are primarily shaped by radiative cooling under clear skies versus suppression by cloud cover and precipitation. High humidity and frequent convective activity during the rainy season limit temperature drops, while any break in cloudiness or stronger winds can enhance cooling. Current forecasts from multiple sources point to typical early-September conditions: daytime highs near 28–30°C with overnight lows around 24–26°C, driven by easterly trades, scattered thunderstorms, and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. No major tropical systems or anomalous sea-surface temperature patterns are indicated in the short-term guidance that would sharply deviate from these baselines. The elevated probabilities on the extremes highlight model sensitivity to small changes in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, or wind shifts over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the coming day will likely narrow the range and shift implied odds accordingly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को पनामा सिटी में सबसे कम तापमान?
20°C या उससे कम 64%
30°C या उससे अधिक 63%
22°C 50%
26°C 46%
20°C या उससे कम
64%
21°C
20%
22°C
50%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
46%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
20%
30°C या उससे अधिक
63%
20°C या उससे कम 64%
30°C या उससे अधिक 63%
22°C 50%
26°C 46%
20°C या उससे कम
64%
21°C
20%
22°C
50%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
46%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
20%
30°C या उससे अधिक
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 3 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty, with the two leading outcomes—20°C or below (34.5%) and 30°C or higher (32.5%)—nearly tied amid a cluster of mid-20s probabilities around 25%.** This distribution signals that models have not converged on a narrow range, leaving room for both cooler nocturnal cooling and warmer, more humid conditions. In Panama’s tropical climate, overnight lows are primarily shaped by radiative cooling under clear skies versus suppression by cloud cover and precipitation. High humidity and frequent convective activity during the rainy season limit temperature drops, while any break in cloudiness or stronger winds can enhance cooling. Current forecasts from multiple sources point to typical early-September conditions: daytime highs near 28–30°C with overnight lows around 24–26°C, driven by easterly trades, scattered thunderstorms, and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. No major tropical systems or anomalous sea-surface temperature patterns are indicated in the short-term guidance that would sharply deviate from these baselines. The elevated probabilities on the extremes highlight model sensitivity to small changes in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, or wind shifts over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the coming day will likely narrow the range and shift implied odds accordingly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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