Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for New York City on August 18, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 72–74°F driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress typical nocturnal temperature drops, keeping the minimum well above the 1991–2020 Central Park August average of ~69°F and explaining why the 74–75°F bin holds the highest implied probability at 61%. Upper-level ridging and elevated dew points in the upper 60s further anchor warmth through the night. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against historical analogs, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outcomes should clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations from Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
18 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
74-75°F 70%
72-73°F 25%
70-71°F 6%
78-79°F 3%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
63°F या उससे नीचे
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
70%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F या अधिक
<1%
74-75°F 70%
72-73°F 25%
70-71°F 6%
78-79°F 3%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
63°F या उससे नीचे
$150 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$150 वॉल्यूम
<1%
66-67°F
$201 वॉल्यूम
<1%
68-69°F
$31 वॉल्यूम
3%
70-71°F
$175 वॉल्यूम
6%
72-73°F
$262 वॉल्यूम
25%
74-75°F
$467 वॉल्यूम
70%
76-77°F
$1,763 वॉल्यूम
1%
78-79°F
$834 वॉल्यूम
3%
80-81°F
$1,628 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82°F या अधिक
$421 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for New York City on August 18, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 72–74°F driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress typical nocturnal temperature drops, keeping the minimum well above the 1991–2020 Central Park August average of ~69°F and explaining why the 74–75°F bin holds the highest implied probability at 61%. Upper-level ridging and elevated dew points in the upper 60s further anchor warmth through the night. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against historical analogs, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outcomes should clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations from Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,065समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for New York City on August 18, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 72–74°F driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress typical nocturnal temperature drops, keeping the minimum well above the 1991–2020 Central Park August average of ~69°F and explaining why the 74–75°F bin holds the highest implied probability at 61%. Upper-level ridging and elevated dew points in the upper 60s further anchor warmth through the night. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against historical analogs, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outcomes should clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations from Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,065समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for New York City on August 18, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 72–74°F driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress typical nocturnal temperature drops, keeping the minimum well above the 1991–2020 Central Park August average of ~69°F and explaining why the 74–75°F bin holds the highest implied probability at 61%. Upper-level ridging and elevated dew points in the upper 60s further anchor warmth through the night. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against historical analogs, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outcomes should clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations from Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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