Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's overnight minimum on August 31 will likely fall between 21–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin following recent high-pressure dominance and drying after earlier showers. This range aligns with climatological late-August norms near 22°C and current observational trends showing stabilizing nocturnal temperatures around 21–22°C. Market-implied odds cluster around 19–22°C because traders weigh potential model variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects against the risk of slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे कम तापमान?
19°C 45%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
9%
18°C
8%
19°C
45%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 45%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
9%
18°C
8%
19°C
45%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's overnight minimum on August 31 will likely fall between 21–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin following recent high-pressure dominance and drying after earlier showers. This range aligns with climatological late-August norms near 22°C and current observational trends showing stabilizing nocturnal temperatures around 21–22°C. Market-implied odds cluster around 19–22°C because traders weigh potential model variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects against the risk of slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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