**Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting strong daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin on August 31, 2026, with consensus forecasts centering on a 33–34°C peak.** Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological sites and international models, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology after recent scattered showers cleared. Trader emphasis on 35–36°C (combined ~74% implied probability) reflects the upper end of ensemble ranges and the potential for localized urban heat-island enhancement or slightly stronger insolation if cloud cover remains minimal. Differentiating these close outcomes hinges on small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any residual moisture, and model spread in maximum temperature—factors that official monitoring (e.g., China Meteorological Administration stations) will resolve. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ align with the absence of an anomalous heat dome or subsidence strengthening, while sub-34°C outcomes would require unexpected increased cloudiness or earlier cooling. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum at the designated Chengdu station, with final readings typically available shortly after local sunset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
36°C 38%
35°C 37%
34°C 15%
33°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
15%
35°C
37%
36°C
38%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
35°C 37%
34°C 15%
33°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
15%
35°C
37%
36°C
38%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting strong daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin on August 31, 2026, with consensus forecasts centering on a 33–34°C peak.** Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological sites and international models, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology after recent scattered showers cleared. Trader emphasis on 35–36°C (combined ~74% implied probability) reflects the upper end of ensemble ranges and the potential for localized urban heat-island enhancement or slightly stronger insolation if cloud cover remains minimal. Differentiating these close outcomes hinges on small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any residual moisture, and model spread in maximum temperature—factors that official monitoring (e.g., China Meteorological Administration stations) will resolve. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ align with the absence of an anomalous heat dome or subsidence strengthening, while sub-34°C outcomes would require unexpected increased cloudiness or earlier cooling. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum at the designated Chengdu station, with final readings typically available shortly after local sunset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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