Current forecasts from multiple models point to an overnight low near 15–16°C for Cape Town on September 11, driven by persistent southerly to southeasterly flow, moderate wind speeds that limit radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover. Springtime conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a recent mild spell after early-September minima as low as 5.9°C, keep the distribution broad. Model consensus shows limited overnight clearing that could allow deeper cooling toward 13–14°C, while stronger winds or increased moisture may hold temperatures above 16°C. This genuine forecast uncertainty—typical for single-day minima—explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the central bins and the notable weight on tail outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the resolution criteria.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
11 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
20°C या अधिक 79%
10°C या उससे कम 68%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
नया
नया
11 सित, 2026
10°C या उससे कम
68%
11°C
35%
12°C
38%
13°C
24%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C या अधिक
79%
20°C या अधिक 79%
10°C या उससे कम 68%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
नया
नया
11 सित, 2026
10°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
68%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
35%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
16°C
$88 वॉल्यूम
20%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
20°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models point to an overnight low near 15–16°C for Cape Town on September 11, driven by persistent southerly to southeasterly flow, moderate wind speeds that limit radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover. Springtime conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a recent mild spell after early-September minima as low as 5.9°C, keep the distribution broad. Model consensus shows limited overnight clearing that could allow deeper cooling toward 13–14°C, while stronger winds or increased moisture may hold temperatures above 16°C. This genuine forecast uncertainty—typical for single-day minima—explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the central bins and the notable weight on tail outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$88समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models point to an overnight low near 15–16°C for Cape Town on September 11, driven by persistent southerly to southeasterly flow, moderate wind speeds that limit radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover. Springtime conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a recent mild spell after early-September minima as low as 5.9°C, keep the distribution broad. Model consensus shows limited overnight clearing that could allow deeper cooling toward 13–14°C, while stronger winds or increased moisture may hold temperatures above 16°C. This genuine forecast uncertainty—typical for single-day minima—explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the central bins and the notable weight on tail outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$88समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models point to an overnight low near 15–16°C for Cape Town on September 11, driven by persistent southerly to southeasterly flow, moderate wind speeds that limit radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover. Springtime conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a recent mild spell after early-September minima as low as 5.9°C, keep the distribution broad. Model consensus shows limited overnight clearing that could allow deeper cooling toward 13–14°C, while stronger winds or increased moisture may hold temperatures above 16°C. This genuine forecast uncertainty—typical for single-day minima—explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the central bins and the notable weight on tail outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the resolution criteria.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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