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icon for IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?

IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?

icon for IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?

IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?

$363,800 वॉल्यूम

31 दिस, 2026
Polymarket

$363,800 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

31 अगस्त

$57,346 वॉल्यूम

1%

31 अक्टूबर

$80,745 वॉल्यूम

6%

31 दिसंबर

$32,385 वॉल्यूम

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and additional attacks in early 2026, the IAEA lost physical access to the enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, halting verification activities under Iran's NPT safeguards agreement. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections will occur and that modalities are under discussion with Tehran. Iranian officials, however, have conditioned any return to the damaged sites on completion of a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no confirmed visits reported since the conflict. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at storage tunnels, particularly at Isfahan, while ongoing US-Iran talks and potential diplomatic timelines remain the main variables that could enable or delay IAEA entry to these locations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$363,800
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and additional attacks in early 2026, the IAEA lost physical access to the enrichment sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz, halting verification activities under Iran's NPT safeguards agreement. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections will occur and that modalities are under discussion with Tehran. Iranian officials, however, have conditioned any return to the damaged sites on completion of a final agreement and sanctions relief, with no confirmed visits reported since the conflict. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at storage tunnels, particularly at Isfahan, while ongoing US-Iran talks and potential diplomatic timelines remain the main variables that could enable or delay IAEA entry to these locations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$363,800
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

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"IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?" Polymarket पर 4 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 दिसंबर 13% (13¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 अक्टूबर 6% पर है।

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