Recent U.S. inflation data, including August core CPI and PPI prints exceeding expectations, combined with oil prices surging above $100 amid geopolitical tensions, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.97% as of September 11. This marks multi-year highs near the 5% threshold and reflects market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting climbing above 85%. The selloff has been amplified by Treasury buyback operations falling short of targets and persistent inflation expectations. With the labor market remaining stable and no immediate easing signals from policymakers, downward pressure on yields appears limited through month-end, though any dovish FOMC shift or oil price reversal could provide support.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$28,729 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
4.76% से नीचे
21%
4.73% से नीचे
14%
4.70% से नीचे
10%
4.67% से नीचे
11%
4.64% से नीचे
5%
4.61% से नीचे
5%
4.56% से नीचे
4%
4.51% से नीचे
4%
4.45% से नीचे
3%
$28,729 वॉल्यूम
4.76% से नीचे
$10,008 वॉल्यूम
21%
4.73% से नीचे
$2,350 वॉल्यूम
14%
4.70% से नीचे
$5,397 वॉल्यूम
10%
4.67% से नीचे
$1,339 वॉल्यूम
11%
4.64% से नीचे
$2,802 वॉल्यूम
5%
4.61% से नीचे
$2,706 वॉल्यूम
5%
4.56% से नीचे
$1,149 वॉल्यूम
4%
4.51% से नीचे
$590 वॉल्यूम
4%
4.45% से नीचे
$2,389 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. inflation data, including August core CPI and PPI prints exceeding expectations, combined with oil prices surging above $100 amid geopolitical tensions, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.97% as of September 11. This marks multi-year highs near the 5% threshold and reflects market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting climbing above 85%. The selloff has been amplified by Treasury buyback operations falling short of targets and persistent inflation expectations. With the labor market remaining stable and no immediate easing signals from policymakers, downward pressure on yields appears limited through month-end, though any dovish FOMC shift or oil price reversal could provide support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,729समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. inflation data, including August core CPI and PPI prints exceeding expectations, combined with oil prices surging above $100 amid geopolitical tensions, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.97% as of September 11. This marks multi-year highs near the 5% threshold and reflects market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting climbing above 85%. The selloff has been amplified by Treasury buyback operations falling short of targets and persistent inflation expectations. With the labor market remaining stable and no immediate easing signals from policymakers, downward pressure on yields appears limited through month-end, though any dovish FOMC shift or oil price reversal could provide support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$28,729समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. inflation data, including August core CPI and PPI prints exceeding expectations, combined with oil prices surging above $100 amid geopolitical tensions, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.97% as of September 11. This marks multi-year highs near the 5% threshold and reflects market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting climbing above 85%. The selloff has been amplified by Treasury buyback operations falling short of targets and persistent inflation expectations. With the labor market remaining stable and no immediate easing signals from policymakers, downward pressure on yields appears limited through month-end, though any dovish FOMC shift or oil price reversal could provide support.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न