Official MetService guidance projects a 15°C maximum for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with historical August averages near 12–13°C providing baseline context amid emerging El Niño conditions that favor near-average winter temperatures across the North Island. Model consensus and local variability in wind-driven mixing support trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes, while cooler southerly shifts or clearer skies could push readings lower. Short-range updates from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 42%
15°C 21%
17°C 19%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
21%
16°C
39%
17°C
20%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 42%
15°C 21%
17°C 19%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
21%
16°C
39%
17°C
20%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService guidance projects a 15°C maximum for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with historical August averages near 12–13°C providing baseline context amid emerging El Niño conditions that favor near-average winter temperatures across the North Island. Model consensus and local variability in wind-driven mixing support trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes, while cooler southerly shifts or clearer skies could push readings lower. Short-range updates from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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