Recent forecasts from MetService and international models converge on a high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 24 August, driven by a northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak high-pressure ridge. Clear to mostly sunny skies will permit strong daytime insolation, while breezy NNW winds (25–35 km/h) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance mixing. Historical climatology places the August daily maximum near 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with negligible precipitation risk and only modest model-to-model differences in peak temperature timing. These stable conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability to 15 °C, with 16 °C as the next most likely outcome should solar heating or wind direction exceed expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 53%
16°C 31%
14°C 13%
17°C 5%
नया
$12,475 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,475 वॉल्यूम
24 अग, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
13%
15°C
53%
16°C
31%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 53%
16°C 31%
14°C 13%
17°C 5%
नया
$12,475 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,475 वॉल्यूम
24 अग, 2026
9°C or below
$364 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$376 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$344 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$507 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$676 वॉल्यूम
2%
14°C
$2,160 वॉल्यूम
13%
15°C
$2,815 वॉल्यूम
53%
16°C
$2,726 वॉल्यूम
31%
17°C
$1,791 वॉल्यूम
5%
18°C
$390 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C or higher
$385 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models converge on a high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 24 August, driven by a northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak high-pressure ridge. Clear to mostly sunny skies will permit strong daytime insolation, while breezy NNW winds (25–35 km/h) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance mixing. Historical climatology places the August daily maximum near 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with negligible precipitation risk and only modest model-to-model differences in peak temperature timing. These stable conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability to 15 °C, with 16 °C as the next most likely outcome should solar heating or wind direction exceed expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,475समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models converge on a high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 24 August, driven by a northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak high-pressure ridge. Clear to mostly sunny skies will permit strong daytime insolation, while breezy NNW winds (25–35 km/h) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance mixing. Historical climatology places the August daily maximum near 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with negligible precipitation risk and only modest model-to-model differences in peak temperature timing. These stable conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability to 15 °C, with 16 °C as the next most likely outcome should solar heating or wind direction exceed expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,475समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models converge on a high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 24 August, driven by a northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak high-pressure ridge. Clear to mostly sunny skies will permit strong daytime insolation, while breezy NNW winds (25–35 km/h) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance mixing. Historical climatology places the August daily maximum near 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with negligible precipitation risk and only modest model-to-model differences in peak temperature timing. These stable conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability to 15 °C, with 16 °C as the next most likely outcome should solar heating or wind direction exceed expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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