Current forecast models from agencies and ensembles project Wellington's minimum temperature on August 24 near 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds, positioning 8°C as the leading single-outcome probability at 54%. Radiational cooling overnight could allow brief dips if winds ease, supporting the 32.5% market-implied chance for 5°C or below, while 7°C holds 26% amid model spread. Wellington's maritime setting and typical August climatology (historical overnight lows often 6–9°C) provide context, with recent high-pressure ridging favoring milder conditions than deeper southerly flows. Updated model runs and observational data overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
7°C 52%
5°C or below 1.0%
6°C <1%
9°C <1%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
52%
8°C
54%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
7°C 52%
5°C or below 1.0%
6°C <1%
9°C <1%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
52%
8°C
54%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies and ensembles project Wellington's minimum temperature on August 24 near 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds, positioning 8°C as the leading single-outcome probability at 54%. Radiational cooling overnight could allow brief dips if winds ease, supporting the 32.5% market-implied chance for 5°C or below, while 7°C holds 26% amid model spread. Wellington's maritime setting and typical August climatology (historical overnight lows often 6–9°C) provide context, with recent high-pressure ridging favoring milder conditions than deeper southerly flows. Updated model runs and observational data overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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