Strong El Niño conditions, now intensifying with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, are driving above-average warmth across Singapore by suppressing rainfall and enhancing subsidence. Recent observations show daily maxima frequently surpassing 33°C, including a 34.9°C peak on August 14, consistent with NEA guidance projecting 33–34°C on most days through late August amid the southwest monsoon. These factors position 33°C as the dominant market outcome at 73% implied probability, with 34°C at 17%, while lower readings remain unlikely given persistent humidity and reduced cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Updated official forecasts and real-time station data will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को सिंगापुर में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 74%
34°C 18%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
$32,345 वॉल्यूम
$32,345 वॉल्यूम
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
74%
34°C
18%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 74%
34°C 18%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
$32,345 वॉल्यूम
$32,345 वॉल्यूम
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
74%
34°C
18%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong El Niño conditions, now intensifying with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, are driving above-average warmth across Singapore by suppressing rainfall and enhancing subsidence. Recent observations show daily maxima frequently surpassing 33°C, including a 34.9°C peak on August 14, consistent with NEA guidance projecting 33–34°C on most days through late August amid the southwest monsoon. These factors position 33°C as the dominant market outcome at 73% implied probability, with 34°C at 17%, while lower readings remain unlikely given persistent humidity and reduced cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Updated official forecasts and real-time station data will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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