Recent GFS and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 24 most likely near 18–20°C, driven by westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover with a 40–50% chance of showers that will limit daytime heating. This follows a period of cooling after mid-August warmth, aligning closely with the market’s tight clustering on 19°C (34%) and 20°C (39.5%) outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors lower values. Model spread and the precise timing of any precipitation introduce the main uncertainty, with updated forecasts expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19°C 37%
20°C 35%
18°C 10%
21°C 9%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
37%
20°C
35%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
19°C 37%
20°C 35%
18°C 10%
21°C 9%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
$135 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$85 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C
$85 वॉल्यूम
3%
18°C
$372 वॉल्यूम
10%
19°C
$254 वॉल्यूम
37%
20°C
$1,318 वॉल्यूम
35%
21°C
$405 वॉल्यूम
9%
22°C
$91 वॉल्यूम
2%
23°C
$138 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$145 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
$289 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 24 most likely near 18–20°C, driven by westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover with a 40–50% chance of showers that will limit daytime heating. This follows a period of cooling after mid-August warmth, aligning closely with the market’s tight clustering on 19°C (34%) and 20°C (39.5%) outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors lower values. Model spread and the precise timing of any precipitation introduce the main uncertainty, with updated forecasts expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,318समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 24 most likely near 18–20°C, driven by westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover with a 40–50% chance of showers that will limit daytime heating. This follows a period of cooling after mid-August warmth, aligning closely with the market’s tight clustering on 19°C (34%) and 20°C (39.5%) outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors lower values. Model spread and the precise timing of any precipitation introduce the main uncertainty, with updated forecasts expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,318समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 24 most likely near 18–20°C, driven by westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover with a 40–50% chance of showers that will limit daytime heating. This follows a period of cooling after mid-August warmth, aligning closely with the market’s tight clustering on 19°C (34%) and 20°C (39.5%) outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors lower values. Model spread and the precise timing of any precipitation introduce the main uncertainty, with updated forecasts expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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