Recent European numerical weather models and observational data from Warsaw Chopin Airport indicate a maximum temperature of 19°C on August 23, 2026, driven by moderating westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation that suppresses daytime heating below seasonal August averages near 22°C. This scientific consensus underpins the 94% market-implied probability for 19°C, with traders incorporating real-time model consensus and historical climatology showing typical late-August highs of 20–23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Minor forecast adjustments favoring the lower end of the 19–21°C range have reinforced positioning, while probabilities for 20°C or higher remain low due to breezy conditions. Verification hinges on official station readings; shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or late-day clearing could realistically push the outcome to 20°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19°C 94%
20°C 6%
21°C 2%
22°C <1%
$22,684 वॉल्यूम
$22,684 वॉल्यूम
23 अग, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
94%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 94%
20°C 6%
21°C 2%
22°C <1%
$22,684 वॉल्यूम
$22,684 वॉल्यूम
23 अग, 2026
15°C or below
$474 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$283 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$937 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$3,239 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$5,237 वॉल्यूम
94%
20°C
$3,806 वॉल्यूम
6%
21°C
$2,636 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C
$1,548 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$1,515 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$569 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,440 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European numerical weather models and observational data from Warsaw Chopin Airport indicate a maximum temperature of 19°C on August 23, 2026, driven by moderating westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation that suppresses daytime heating below seasonal August averages near 22°C. This scientific consensus underpins the 94% market-implied probability for 19°C, with traders incorporating real-time model consensus and historical climatology showing typical late-August highs of 20–23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Minor forecast adjustments favoring the lower end of the 19–21°C range have reinforced positioning, while probabilities for 20°C or higher remain low due to breezy conditions. Verification hinges on official station readings; shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or late-day clearing could realistically push the outcome to 20°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$22,684समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European numerical weather models and observational data from Warsaw Chopin Airport indicate a maximum temperature of 19°C on August 23, 2026, driven by moderating westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation that suppresses daytime heating below seasonal August averages near 22°C. This scientific consensus underpins the 94% market-implied probability for 19°C, with traders incorporating real-time model consensus and historical climatology showing typical late-August highs of 20–23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Minor forecast adjustments favoring the lower end of the 19–21°C range have reinforced positioning, while probabilities for 20°C or higher remain low due to breezy conditions. Verification hinges on official station readings; shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or late-day clearing could realistically push the outcome to 20°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$22,684समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European numerical weather models and observational data from Warsaw Chopin Airport indicate a maximum temperature of 19°C on August 23, 2026, driven by moderating westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation that suppresses daytime heating below seasonal August averages near 22°C. This scientific consensus underpins the 94% market-implied probability for 19°C, with traders incorporating real-time model consensus and historical climatology showing typical late-August highs of 20–23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Minor forecast adjustments favoring the lower end of the 19–21°C range have reinforced positioning, while probabilities for 20°C or higher remain low due to breezy conditions. Verification hinges on official station readings; shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or late-day clearing could realistically push the outcome to 20°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न