**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and the Israel Meteorological Service converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 60%.** This strong model consensus, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C at Ben Gurion Airport and coastal stations, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 32°C. Minor deviations to 33°C remain possible only if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations or localized heat-island effects intensify, while cooler outcomes would require unforecasted marine-layer strengthening or increased cloud cover—both low-probability shifts given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of frontal systems. Traders appear to be pricing in the reliability of short-range guidance this close to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 99%
33°C 2%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$14,124 वॉल्यूम
$14,124 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99%
33°C 2%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$14,124 वॉल्यूम
$14,124 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models and the Israel Meteorological Service converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 60%.** This strong model consensus, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C at Ben Gurion Airport and coastal stations, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 32°C. Minor deviations to 33°C remain possible only if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations or localized heat-island effects intensify, while cooler outcomes would require unforecasted marine-layer strengthening or increased cloud cover—both low-probability shifts given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of frontal systems. Traders appear to be pricing in the reliability of short-range guidance this close to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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