**Marine layer persistence and onshore flow are anchoring trader expectations for San Francisco’s September 20 high temperature in the mid-60s.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance show mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with west-southwest winds of 7–15 mph limiting daytime heating, producing projected highs near 64–66°F—well below the 1991–2020 average of 70.7°F for the date. Recent model runs have converged on this cooler regime without signs of offshore flow or clearing that would push readings into the upper 60s or 70s. The market’s heaviest volume on the 66–67°F bin (36.5%) followed by 64–65°F (24.5%) reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities on 68°F+ outcomes capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning observations on the 20th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 सितंबर को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
20 सितंबर को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 24%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 11%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
59°F या उससे कम
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78°F या उससे अधिक
1%
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 24%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 11%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
59°F या उससे कम
$124 वॉल्यूम
1%
60-61°F
$10 वॉल्यूम
3%
62-63°F
$179 वॉल्यूम
7%
64-65°F
$270 वॉल्यूम
24%
66-67°F
$101 वॉल्यूम
35%
68-69°F
$226 वॉल्यूम
23%
70-71°F
$28 वॉल्यूम
11%
72-73°F
$492 वॉल्यूम
2%
74-75°F
$69 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
78°F या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer persistence and onshore flow are anchoring trader expectations for San Francisco’s September 20 high temperature in the mid-60s.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance show mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with west-southwest winds of 7–15 mph limiting daytime heating, producing projected highs near 64–66°F—well below the 1991–2020 average of 70.7°F for the date. Recent model runs have converged on this cooler regime without signs of offshore flow or clearing that would push readings into the upper 60s or 70s. The market’s heaviest volume on the 66–67°F bin (36.5%) followed by 64–65°F (24.5%) reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities on 68°F+ outcomes capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning observations on the 20th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,518समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer persistence and onshore flow are anchoring trader expectations for San Francisco’s September 20 high temperature in the mid-60s.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance show mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with west-southwest winds of 7–15 mph limiting daytime heating, producing projected highs near 64–66°F—well below the 1991–2020 average of 70.7°F for the date. Recent model runs have converged on this cooler regime without signs of offshore flow or clearing that would push readings into the upper 60s or 70s. The market’s heaviest volume on the 66–67°F bin (36.5%) followed by 64–65°F (24.5%) reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities on 68°F+ outcomes capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning observations on the 20th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,518समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer persistence and onshore flow are anchoring trader expectations for San Francisco’s September 20 high temperature in the mid-60s.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance show mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with west-southwest winds of 7–15 mph limiting daytime heating, producing projected highs near 64–66°F—well below the 1991–2020 average of 70.7°F for the date. Recent model runs have converged on this cooler regime without signs of offshore flow or clearing that would push readings into the upper 60s or 70s. The market’s heaviest volume on the 66–67°F bin (36.5%) followed by 64–65°F (24.5%) reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities on 68°F+ outcomes capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning observations on the 20th will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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