Recent model guidance from ECMWF and national services indicates Munich’s August 9 maximum will likely fall in the low-30s °C range amid a weakening high-pressure ridge that has sustained Central European heat. Daytime heating under mostly clear skies, light easterly flow, and residual warm advection from earlier heat-dome conditions support 32–34 °C peaks, while modest increases in boundary-layer moisture and possible afternoon cumulus could cap readings near 32 °C. Ensemble spread remains narrow but highlights sensitivity to exact cloud timing and mixing depth. With DWD station observations used for resolution, traders are pricing the narrow 32–34 °C window most heavily as the final 48-hour forecast updates approach.