**Short-term forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 36–37°C on August 9, aligning with the market’s tight split between those brackets amid typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light winds and variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in peak readings, as even brief convective activity or increased marine influence from the South China Sea can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect amplifies baseline temperatures above regional averages of ~31–32°C, but model differences in timing of any sea-breeze shift or solar insolation under overcast skies explain the close 36°C (33.5%) versus 37°C (27%) pricing. Upcoming high-resolution runs from regional agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9 अगस्त को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
36°C 34%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
34°C 11%
30°C या उससे कम
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
17%
36°C
34%
37°C
27%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
36°C 34%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
34°C 11%
30°C या उससे कम
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
17%
36°C
34%
37°C
27%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 36–37°C on August 9, aligning with the market’s tight split between those brackets amid typical early-August subtropical conditions.** High humidity from the East Asian monsoon, combined with light winds and variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, creates uncertainty in peak readings, as even brief convective activity or increased marine influence from the South China Sea can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect amplifies baseline temperatures above regional averages of ~31–32°C, but model differences in timing of any sea-breeze shift or solar insolation under overcast skies explain the close 36°C (33.5%) versus 37°C (27%) pricing. Upcoming high-resolution runs from regional agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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