Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 7 centering on 34–35°C, driving the closely matched 36.5–45.5% market-implied probabilities. High-pressure subsidence across the Po Valley promotes clear skies and enhanced boundary-layer warming, while Milan's urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally; however, model spread arises from variable afternoon convective showers, wind patterns, and exact timing of maximum insolation. Historical August baselines near 30°C provide context for the elevated readings, with official observations from regional stations resolving the market by day's end. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C 48%
34°C 34%
36°C 12%
33°C 7%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
34%
35°C
48%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 48%
34°C 34%
36°C 12%
33°C 7%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
34%
35°C
48%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 7 centering on 34–35°C, driving the closely matched 36.5–45.5% market-implied probabilities. High-pressure subsidence across the Po Valley promotes clear skies and enhanced boundary-layer warming, while Milan's urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally; however, model spread arises from variable afternoon convective showers, wind patterns, and exact timing of maximum insolation. Historical August baselines near 30°C provide context for the elevated readings, with official observations from regional stations resolving the market by day's end. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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