**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs position an 18°C high as the most likely outcome for Moscow on September 5, 2026, driving the 62.5% market-implied probability.** Persistent cloudy skies, widespread rain, and thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating and keeping temperatures within a narrow 16–18°C band, consistent with multiple hourly updates showing afternoon peaks near 18°C. This aligns closely with the long-term September 5 average high of roughly 18.5°C, while cooler-than-normal surface conditions and southerly-to-westerly flow further limit any upside potential. The 17°C (20.5%) and 19°C (13.5%) options capture the remaining uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable precipitation. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and real-time observations heavily, as resolution depends on verified maximum temperature measurements for the calendar day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18°C 68%
19°C 23%
20°C 12%
17°C 4%
$21,619 वॉल्यूम
$21,619 वॉल्यूम
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
68%
19°C
23%
20°C
12%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
18°C 68%
19°C 23%
20°C 12%
17°C 4%
$21,619 वॉल्यूम
$21,619 वॉल्यूम
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
68%
19°C
23%
20°C
12%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs position an 18°C high as the most likely outcome for Moscow on September 5, 2026, driving the 62.5% market-implied probability.** Persistent cloudy skies, widespread rain, and thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating and keeping temperatures within a narrow 16–18°C band, consistent with multiple hourly updates showing afternoon peaks near 18°C. This aligns closely with the long-term September 5 average high of roughly 18.5°C, while cooler-than-normal surface conditions and southerly-to-westerly flow further limit any upside potential. The 17°C (20.5%) and 19°C (13.5%) options capture the remaining uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable precipitation. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and real-time observations heavily, as resolution depends on verified maximum temperature measurements for the calendar day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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