The market-implied near-certainty around a 29°C daily maximum arises from PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila, which projects a high of 29°C under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions on September 5. Widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity have limited solar insolation and convective heating throughout the day, aligning with multiple numerical models showing afternoon peaks near 27–29°C. This setup matches typical September monsoon suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms. Minor upward revisions remain possible if monsoon breaks allow brief clearing, though current observational trends and model consensus indicate low likelihood of exceeding the 29°C threshold before official recording closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
5 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
23°C या उससे नीचे <1%
24°C <1%
$30,436 वॉल्यूम
$30,436 वॉल्यूम
5 सित, 2026
23°C या उससे नीचे
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या अधिक
<1%
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
23°C या उससे नीचे <1%
24°C <1%
$30,436 वॉल्यूम
$30,436 वॉल्यूम
5 सित, 2026
23°C या उससे नीचे
$155 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$791 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$1,011 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$4,917 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$8,904 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$3,015 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$3,424 वॉल्यूम
100%
30°C
$4,181 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$2,104 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$1,134 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C या अधिक
$799 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied near-certainty around a 29°C daily maximum arises from PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila, which projects a high of 29°C under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions on September 5. Widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity have limited solar insolation and convective heating throughout the day, aligning with multiple numerical models showing afternoon peaks near 27–29°C. This setup matches typical September monsoon suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms. Minor upward revisions remain possible if monsoon breaks allow brief clearing, though current observational trends and model consensus indicate low likelihood of exceeding the 29°C threshold before official recording closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,436समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied near-certainty around a 29°C daily maximum arises from PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila, which projects a high of 29°C under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions on September 5. Widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity have limited solar insolation and convective heating throughout the day, aligning with multiple numerical models showing afternoon peaks near 27–29°C. This setup matches typical September monsoon suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms. Minor upward revisions remain possible if monsoon breaks allow brief clearing, though current observational trends and model consensus indicate low likelihood of exceeding the 29°C threshold before official recording closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$30,436समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied near-certainty around a 29°C daily maximum arises from PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila, which projects a high of 29°C under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions on September 5. Widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity have limited solar insolation and convective heating throughout the day, aligning with multiple numerical models showing afternoon peaks near 27–29°C. This setup matches typical September monsoon suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms. Minor upward revisions remain possible if monsoon breaks allow brief clearing, though current observational trends and model consensus indicate low likelihood of exceeding the 29°C threshold before official recording closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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