Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's September 6 high will likely reach 15–17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and westerly winds of 6–12 m/s that limit solar heating and advect cooler maritime air. This setup keeps temperatures below the 1991–2020 average high of 18.3°C for the date, with overnight lows near 8–12°C further capping daytime recovery. Model consensus shows minimal spread, supporting the market's tight clustering around 14–16°C outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Traders appear to weight the latest Hydrometeorological Center guidance and ensemble runs showing suppressed maxima, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief warming.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 39%
16°C 23%
14°C 22%
13°C 10%
10°C या उससे नीचे
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
23%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
15°C 39%
16°C 23%
14°C 22%
13°C 10%
10°C या उससे नीचे
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
23%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's September 6 high will likely reach 15–17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and westerly winds of 6–12 m/s that limit solar heating and advect cooler maritime air. This setup keeps temperatures below the 1991–2020 average high of 18.3°C for the date, with overnight lows near 8–12°C further capping daytime recovery. Model consensus shows minimal spread, supporting the market's tight clustering around 14–16°C outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Traders appear to weight the latest Hydrometeorological Center guidance and ensemble runs showing suppressed maxima, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief warming.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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